Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000946 0.001079 0.001214 0.001359 0.001512 0.001667 0.001835
2025-07-27 0.000743 0.000949 0.001166 0.001410 0.001673 0.001946 0.002250
2025-08-03 0.000558 0.000816 0.001102 0.001434 0.001803 0.002194 0.002637
2025-08-10 0.000348 0.000626 0.000955 0.001354 0.001812 0.002309 0.002881
2025-08-17 0.000208 0.000492 0.000857 0.001318 0.001862 0.002465 0.003169
2025-08-24 0.000100 0.000370 0.000754 0.001267 0.001888 0.002590 0.003421
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000290 0.000695 0.001259 0.001961 0.002764 0.003726
2025-09-07 0.000011 0.000241 0.000670 0.001290 0.002076 0.002986 0.004083
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000181 0.000616 0.001278 0.002136 0.003141 0.004362
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000141 0.000585 0.001293 0.002225 0.003328 0.004676
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000114 0.000571 0.001326 0.002336 0.003540 0.005017
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000077 0.000526 0.001313 0.002385 0.003675 0.005268
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000039 0.000468 0.001283 0.002422 0.003808 0.005532
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000026 0.000462 0.001333 0.002563 0.004071 0.005952
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000011 0.000441 0.001356 0.002672 0.004296 0.006329
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000360 0.001279 0.002643 0.004351 0.006506
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000310 0.001243 0.002668 0.004471 0.006760
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000256 0.001193 0.002670 0.004560 0.006975
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000227 0.001186 0.002730 0.004721 0.007275
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000218 0.001216 0.002841 0.004946 0.007652
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000191 0.001204 0.002891 0.005093 0.007933
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000177 0.001218 0.002978 0.005284 0.008267
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000172 0.001251 0.003091 0.005509 0.008642